The forecast foresees a changing of the guard at the top of the conference as well, with the Nuggets, Grizzlies and Mavericks projecting as the only teams with 50-plus wins. The Sixers might have found their answer at backup center in the rugged P.J. Donis closest comparables for this season include 2003 Tracy McGrady, 2009 LeBron James and 2002 Kobe Bryant, among others. Teams like the Jazz, Spurs, Pacers and more could join this group in the Wembanyama (and Scoot Henderson) sweepstakes at some point during the season, but for now they have better projections due to the quality and volume of their veteran talent. The New York Knicks are also moving up the table, though the numbers are still pretty long. The. RAPTOR does not contain a coaching adjustment, so there is no way for it to factor in the absence of Ime Udoka, who was suspended by the Celtics for a year after violating team policy by having an intimate relationship with a female member of the franchises staff. If it does, the Nets have a legitimate chance to contend for a title. The Bulls entered the break on a five-game winning streak on the shoulders of a hot-shooting DeMar DeRozan. In are Eric Gordon, Bones Hyland, Mason Plumlee, and Russell Westbrook. Against a reeling Knicks squad, he could be on pace for an encore. Coach Nick Nurse hasn't hesitated to lean on his stars. If not, well, the floor might be bottomless. Perhaps the most interesting move is the Atlanta Hawks, who have moved closer to the top of the table despite firing their coach this month. For all those reasons, the Celtics are favored in the NBA championship odds. As weve already established, superstars win championships in the NBA, which must be thrilling for the Mavericks, who have NBA MVP candidate Luka Doncic leading their squad. All rights reserved. Playoff and title projections: The Suns were +1600 to hoist the Larry OBrien Trophy just one month ago, sliding to their lowest position since before the 2021 Finals appearance. Thats a core that NBA bettors really seem to like, too. Caesars title odds: +100000 Theyre back up to fifth in the championship odds table at +1100, behind only the Celtics, Suns, Bucks and Nuggets. Now, its up to the Warriors to prove the less-favorable odds wrong. But bettors may not mind the coaching shuffle. Most impactful moment during the season's first half: Beating the LA Clippers on Dec. 31. The addition of Irving has given Dallas an elite second-scoring option behind Luka Doncic. And then we come to the Los Angeles Lakers, who along with the Sacramento Kings are projected to finish several games back of play-in territory.2 Last season, our preseason Lakers projection caused a lot of consternation and was pretty much vindicated by how the season played out. FiveThirtyEight's chance of winning the Finals: 21%. The West is very bunched up. A teams full-strength rating assumes all of its key players are in the lineup. Denvers projection is, of course, powered by Nikola Joki, who is projected to once again lead the league in total RAPTOR by a lot. You can view updated NBA championship odds and more online sports betting opportunities at the BetMGM online sportsbook. In over 1,000 minutes together this season, the duo has produced a 9.84 net rating. Playoff and title projections: It would be extremely unusual for the Kings to snap a historic playoff drought by winning the title with virtually no playoff experience. Washington has won three of its past five but is still waiting for Kristaps Porzingis to make his Wizards debut since he was traded to the team on Feb. 10. FiveThirtyEight's chance of winning the Finals: 7%. The big exception is the Nets, whose odds market imploded when the team spun off Durant and Irving. Similarly, the Warriors have home-court advantage for the Finals by virtue of their superior record (despite being a lower seed within their own conference). They came away with a big victory over Cleveland (when Trae Young notched another 40-point performance) while continuing their climb toward .500. Denvers regular-season resume has been good so far. Calling a timeout in crunch-time when your team doesnt have one? ET, TNT): What else could this be, when Simmons and the Nets come to Wells Fargo Center to face Embiid, Harden and the 76ers? While youre here, check out some of our other NBA betting sitesor unique basketball betting content like our popular first-quarter/first-half betting report or our analysis of which teams perform best on back-to-back days. The Warriors feel like a sleeping giant which is probably why DK is giving them the eighth-best title odds despite Golden State being the current seventh seed. On top of teams jockeying in the standings, the biggest trade of the season -- the James Harden-Ben Simmons swap between the Nets and Philadelphia 76ers -- continues to reverberate across the league, and will require both teams to adjust to the arrival of big-name stars over the next several weeks. AZ, CO, CT, IL, IN, IA, KS, LA, (select parishes), MD, MI, NH, NJ, NY, OH, OR, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY, CA-ONT only.Eligibility restrictions apply. Its all about health. ET): Any chance to see Antetokounmpo and Embiid go head-to-head is worth watching, but this game could help decide the winner of this year's MVP award. These are combined with up-to-date depth charts tracking injuries, trades, changes in playing time and other player transactions to generate talent estimates for each team. Boston currently has a greater than 99 percent chance . The 8 NBA teams that can win the championship this season, Jaden Ivey pulled a Chris Webber, and it cost Pistons the game vs. Bulls. Caesars' Eastern Conference odds: +340 I realize this is sort of a radical concept, but if a team is better during the regular season and better during the playoffs, it might just be better. Giannis Antetokounmpo is nursing a right wrist injury, but Milwaukee reportedly dodged a bullet with the severity of that injury. There is some historical wisdom behind minimalism at the deadline. ET, TNT): Health and safety protocols robbed fans of seeing Young return to Madison Square Garden on Christmas Day, so this will be his first trip back since the playoff series last year that ended with him taking a bow at halfcourt. From a mall parking lot altercation to a fight with a teenager during a pickup game, these are the allegations Ja Morant is facing. FiveThirtyEight's chance of winning the Finals: 0.3%. What Are The Most Vulnerable Senate Seats In 2024? Illustration by Elias Stein. Caesars' Eastern Conference odds: +2500 In the likely event (to me, at least) that Mobleys projection ends up being too pessimistic, Clevelands odds will certainly improve. The Clippers are such a wildcard. Must-see game left on the schedule: Mavericks at Wizards, April 1 (7 p.m. Parity is running wild this NBA season. 1' to Dubs beating Mavs. Nate McMillan was dismissed in Atlanta on Feb. 21 and replaced by former Jazz coach Quin Snyder. With Giannis avoiding serious injury, the Bucks seem poised to keep rolling down the stretch. Such teams are usually rare: From 2015-16 through 2021-22, our preseason forecast included, on average, 5.4 (and at most eight) teams with championship odds of 5 percent or better. It was the first time since the end of December the Cavs have lost multiple games in a row. Golden State Warriors (224) The Easts current fifth-place team is available at an astonishing +15000 in the championship odds table and +5000 in the Eastern Conference market. Most impactful moment during the season's first half: The immediate impact rookie Evan Mobley made upon arrival in Cleveland is the biggest reason the Cavs have transformed into a contender. Forecast from How this works: These forecasts are based on 50,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Boston Celtics (87) The Cs currently sit as the +325 chalk, followed by the Milwaukee Bucks at +550 and the Denver Nuggets at +650. Milwaukee has reiterated it expects Lopez, who is recovering from back surgery, and guard Pat Connaughton, who fractured a finger the night of the trade deadline, to return before the end of the regular season. Must-see game left on the schedule: Heat at Knicks, March 22 (7:30 p.m. The big exception is the Nets, whose odds market imploded when the team spun off Durant and Irving. That's 3% clear of the next-strongest team, Phoenix. Naturally, those acquisitions created a torrent of new betting action in Dallas and Phoenix, reshaping the balance of power in the West. How much will this game affect playoff odds, Show our forecast based on RAPTOR player ratings. 4-seeded Mavericks during the conference finals. Must-see game left on the schedule: 76ers at Cavs, April 3 (6 p.m. The Nets had all kinds of drama surrounding them heading into the break after trading Harden -- and enduring an 11-game losing streak -- but they finally appeared to turn things around as they headed into the break having won two of three, which included a 28-point come-from-behind win against the Knicks. Terms at draftkings.com/sportsbook. The Knicks need him to be the engine of the second unit that he has proven to be when healthy. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of The NBA. Over his last 18 games, hes averaging 28.7 points with bonkers shooting splits (54.4/49.5/91.6). Despite an eventful offseason that saw a solid effort in free agency contrasted by a scandal resulting in the firing of head coach Ime Udoka, the Cs seemed unwavered. Thats 40 to 1. As a result, bettors have become more comfortable buying Sacramento positions. That wasnt necessarily the case for either team a few weeks ago. Pivot point for the rest of the season: Can the Raptors hold up? FiveThirtyEight's chance of winning the Finals: < 0.1%. The Easts current fifth-place team is available at an astonishing +15000 in the championship odds table and +5000 in the Eastern Conference market. The Wizards beat the Nets for the second time in five games with Rui Hachimura having his best game of the season with 20 points. A teams full-strength rating assumes all of its key players are in the lineup. Those odds are in spite of the No. Chase Kiddy. Must-see game left on the schedule: Bucks at 76ers, March 29 (7 p.m. Playoff and title projections: Boston (+300) and Milwaukee (+500) have been two of the top contenders throughout the season, with a combined 18.9% of the NBA championship ticket market, and they remain in a strong position now. FiveThirtyEight's chance of winning the Finals: 0.5% Most impactful moment during the season's first half: DeRozan hits back-to-back game-winners on New Year's Eve and New Year's Day. NBA Championship Odds: Trade Deadline Shakes Up Betting Markets (March 1) Chase Kiddy breaks down how the NBA Trade Deadline has shaken up betting markets. Milwaukee Bucks (72) RAPTOR (57) The 4 ways this Aaron Rodgers mess can end, Bet on the 2023 NBA Playoffs at DraftKings Sportsbook, reportedly dodged a bullet with the severity of that injury, Anthony Davis unwinnable fight to save the Lakers season, Trae Young is going to soar in Quin Snyders offense, NBA Scores: Mavericks lose to Pacers, fall to 1-4 since Kyrie Irving trade, Giannis trash talked the NBAs biggest stars on The Daily Show, and it was adorable. All boast championship odds between 5 and 7 percent and are projected for between 49 and 51 wins with point differentials between plus-3.0 and plus-3.8 per game. Speaking of wildcards, who knows what to make of the Sixers. Here's a look coming out of the All-Star Break at the 12 teams with a shot to make the postseason, listed in order of each team's conference standing. But whether NBA fans are confident in the Warriors chances or skeptical, there are clearly odds for any attitude. Phoenix still projects to have one of the NBAs best starting fives, but the bench appears a bit lacking right now even with the return of Dario ari. A . The Clippers arent the only team in town that made moves. Today, they are +450. Game metrics are on a 0-100 scale. Steph missed the last 12 games of the regular season last year before leading a Finals run. NBA playoff chase: Everything to know about 12 Eastern Conference contenders, KD stars with Booker in long-awaited Suns debut, LaMelo has surgery on right ankle, out for season, 'Felt like practice': Lillard, McCollum square off, Mitchell fights off injury, hangs 44 on Celts in loss, Embiid (sore left foot) misses win against Heat, Bulls hold on as Ivey's TO gaffe costs Pistons, Sources: Warriors eye Curry return next week, What NBA Finals runs from LeBron, Giannis can teach Jayson Tatum, NBA Power Rankings: Kevin Durant's return could rock the West, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, Roundtable: Early takeaways from Kyrie Irving joining Luka Doncic in Dallas, NBA title and MVP bets for second half of season, What the NBA might look like without 75 years of baggage, Sign up now to unlock everything ESPN+ has to offer. The duo has produced a 9.84 net rating less-favorable odds wrong the big exception is the Nets, odds... 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