By closely monitoring growing public support for greenhouse gas mitigation measures in many countries, for example, a leading oil-and-gas company was able to invest in renewable natural-gas technologies much earlier than its peers. As weve seen, informal functional networks throughout organizations can enable the rapid sharing of data and improve the identification and mitigation of geopolitical risks. Reporting focuses on both incident analysis and trend monitoring, providing forward looking assessments to facilitate proactive risk management decision making and asset . Our team's background in national security, international affairs, intelligence, cybersecurity, and commerce provides The Chertoff Group with an unrivaled perspective of evolving global relationships, challenges, and tensions. Companies should also consider conducting geopolitical risk assessments at regular intervals throughout their exposure in that country in order to detect and respond to changes before they have a negative impact on the company. Such external pressures exert other internal pressures on corporate leaders. For that reason, a company may need to issue guidance on a range of other topics, such as the appropriate way to discuss geopolitically sensitive topics in publications or speeches and how to depict contested borders on maps. Consider the trade-offs of framing how the company talks about itself, if that narrative could create conflicts with stakeholders, and what the potential remedies could be. Intelligence-led solutions for underwriters and insurance exposure management teams to efficiently identify, evaluate and monitor risks and opportunities at country, region and location specific levels, A credible, independent view of external operational and strategic risks and the tools to integrate those risks into your financial evaluation, Improve the quality of investment decision-making with pressure-tested macroeconomic and sector inputs, expert political analysis and scenario alternatives, {"items" : [ We help companies anticipate and quantify critical external strategic business risks that might adversely impact their investments, personnel, interests, and assets anywhere in the world. Our intelligence analysts are building on 20 years experience in understanding political risks faced by our clients in insurance and financial services. But so do some pharmaceutical, technology, and packaged goods companies. . We'll email you when new articles are published on this topic. BCG X disrupts the present and creates the future by building bold new tech products, services, and businesses. For banks, with varying degrees of exposure to Russia, the costs of their miscalculation have been sizable, but most say that their losses are manageable. Our intelligence-led approach to risk forecasting, and our global all-source open source intelligence infrastructure delivers the data and insights you need to mitigate geopolitical risks and seize opportunities. Coco Feng, Chinese president Xi Jinping seeks to rally countrys scientists for unprecedented contest, South China Morning Post, May 29, 2021, scmp.com. Providing a regular forum for a board to examine pressure points and operating realities from multiple perspectives and air diverging views doesnt just improve decision making and establish an appetite for riskit helps create consensus across leadership on the issues. Please try again later. The output of this study has implications for portfolio construction and risk management as well as sensible business and governmental practice. All rights reserved. In the aftermath of the US presidential election, CFOs appeared very optimisticwith that quarter's survey registering the sharpest uptick in sentiment in its seven-year history. Independent data and analysis for opportunity sizing, local partner selection, government stakeholder assessment and risk assessment. For the past three decades, going global meant unlocking specialization and . Another short-term action is to invest in strategy, PR, and government-relations teams that can serve as the companys points of contact with senior government officials and key stakeholders in multiple jurisdictions. US Wants To Remove Iran From UN Womens Commission, Geopolitical Intelligence Group: Staying Ahead with Intelligence Services. Convert risk into opportunity with bespoke solutions. Build a geopolitical risk management center of expertise or a network that unites . As a result, they fail to examine the broader strategic landscape, full range of risk scenarios and consequences, or key decision points. We hosted our 6th annual Top 10 Geopolitical Risks event today with KPMG global alliance partner, Eurasia Group, and we highlighted the relevance of the risks We help companies anticipate and quantify critical external strategic business risks that might adversely impact their investments, personnel, interests, and assets anywhere in the world. Financial risks have probably never been more acute. As part of long-term planning, a company can conduct exercises to assess its response to game-changing scenarios. 2023 Geopolitical Outlook . Casper Wuite, 55 East 52nd Street 17 Fl Geopolitical Intelligence Group: Staying Ahead with Intelligence Servicesit. Subscribed to {PRACTICE_NAME} email alerts. [1] Geopolitical risk refers to situations involving power struggles such as wars, tensions or terrorist attacks that cannot be resolved peacefully. & account inquiries, For CA: Do not sell my personal information. Eurasia Group 2023. And differences can dissolve into disagreements about risk and Case Study 2 {"name":"login","url":"","enabled":false,"desc":", Discover more about S&P Globals offerings, Learn how we can help you manage geopolitical risk, Differentiating geopolitical risk for profitable investing, Let our risk ratings guide your decisions, M&A In Focus: Tech Acquisitions and the New Normal in 2023, Assessing the impact of the U.S. Government Accountability Office recommendations on Export Control Compliance at universities, Foresight Security for Corporate Security, Integrity Due Diligence & Integrity Consulting, Benchmarking, Pricing and Aggregation, and Scenario Analysis. the most significant opportunities and challenges created by a constantly evolving geopolitical landscape and the investments or adjustments needed to address them, potential unintended consequences from taking a particular risk position, key takeaways from how peer companies responded to similar shock situations. A confirmation email has been sent to you. Companies should also be vigilant about risks presented by suppliers. The Chertoff Group leverages this broad and deep expertise . Geopolitical events can manifest themselves in many ways. Ian Bremmer is the president and founder of Eurasia Group, the leading global political risk research and consulting firm started in 1998. An escalation of geopolitical events can lead to outright wars . Our global multidisciplinary teams offer strategic legal and regulatory advice to help . Most of the companies we assessed do not use rigorous quantitative methods to analyze geopolitical risks. Depending on the circumstance, a companys leaders may have to weigh the effect that political or media scrutiny on the companys operations in one area has on its holdings in other locales. When retaining consultants, always consider the necessary types of insurance to be required. Sophisticated geopolitical risk management can also help investors identify arbitrage opportunities. Sign up to receive periodic news, reports, and invitations from Kroll. 3. These circumstances can leave traditional risk management systems and teams flatfooted. One way to initiate a more strategic approach is by assessing the risks that matter the most to a business. Independent data and analysis for opportunity sizing, local partner selection, government stakeholder assessment and risk assessment. Such a unit could, for example, analyze political events that threaten to disrupt the companys operations materially or prepare responses to government inquiries into sensitive topics. A board could begin such a conversation with a baseline assessment that includes the following: Boards can gain perspective by soliciting outside opinions on relevant topics from business and political leaders, embassies and other government agencies, and nongovermental organizations. 08 March 2022. A quick message or email to the global functional marketing, finance, or risk community, the company told us, allows for rapid troubleshooting, the cross-pollination of insights, and the sharing of best practices. Our operational and strategic advisory services inform our clients with valuable . <br><br>Her expertise is sought out and appreciated by multinationals, Crown corporations, associations, small businesses, employee-owned companies, nonprofits, and First Nations . Cultural Missteps We support each client's unique risk profile . And a narrative that works in one place could inhibit market opportunities in another or create sensitivities among regions. . Geopolitical Risk and uncertainty are major challenges for business operations and frequently listed among the top three risks in major corporate C-suite surveys. Every organization we studied relies on input and expertise from the field. In 2016 following a failed coup d'tat, the Turkish government targeted domestic companies associated with the Turkish cleric Fethullah Glen, who it claimed was behind the attempt. Geostrategic Business Group | EY - Global Close search Trending Why Chief Marketing Officers should be central to every transformation 31 Jan 2023 Consulting The CEO Imperative: How will CEOs respond to a new recession reality? Some foreign firms, who were perceived as having received favoritism from the Ethiopian government, were specifically targeted by protesters and the government had to declare multiple states of emergencies that were extremely disruptive to the business operations of those foreign firms. Site by Odgis+Co and ICVM Group. Our intelligence team works with regional field ops who know every corner of the . Comprehensive spectrum of risk-based screening and due diligence solutions. Our privacy policy describes how your data will be processed. Companies are walking a geopolitical tightrope. Economic and Geopolitical scenarios Organizations can be prepared to respond to geopolitical risks across multiple time frames. 1 There are no reliable historical streams of data that one can easily plug into a model. Companies with robust compliance programs should consider conducting geopolitical risk assessments as part of their regular due diligence workflows. 5. Russia's invasion of Ukraine has . Seerist is the only augmented analytics solution for threat and risk intelligence professionals. On the other hand, most global companies deal with a range of localized geopolitical risks on a rolling basis. To gain a deeper understanding of the geopolitical risk management practices of global companies, we conducted structured interviews with current and former senior executives of large organizations, with various headquarters locations, in ten diverse industries. Such a compact should make crystal clear what an organizations priorities are in the high-risk market, the criteria to be used to assess and manage risks, and how to deploy the criteria in a way that lines up with goals for operations and performance. Corporate strategy, corporate risk management, corporate finance, insurance underwriters and exposure managers, investors, data analytics teams, and intelligence and security departments all partner with us to evaluate opportunities; identify key geopolitical risks to business plans, portfolios, and suppliers; allocate resources more efficiently and effectively; model and prepare for potential economic and geopolitical shocks; and communicate better with other internal and external stakeholders. Strategic and risk management decisions are developed to understand clearly your next geopolitical move to identify both hazards and prospects. If an energy company mismanages the environmental, political, and regulatory fallout from a disastrous oil spill, for example, it could potentially lose its license to operate in that countryboth legally and metaphorically, in terms of public acceptance. Similarly, the Netherlands recently adopted legislation to prevent the use of child labor within the supply chains of Dutch companies and foreign companies doing business in the region. How global companies can manage geopolitical risk, Author Talks: The worlds longest study of adult development finds the key to happy living, The executives guide to new-business building, Generative AI is here: How tools like ChatGPT could change your business, The new geopolitics of global business,. These organizations take many forms. Geopolitical risk assessments should be tailored to focus on relevant industries and customized to target specific concerns depending on the type of investment, expansion or partnership. Geopolitics is "the study of the effects of Earth's geography (human and physical) on politics and international relations.". Managing risk in today's environment is complex. As the former Intel CEO Andy Grove famously put it, Only the paranoid survive. A major global technology company offers another good illustration. MPhil student at the University of Cambridge, intending to go into postgrad education to the PhD level. Adept & highly organized self-stater. The ability to proactively navigate turbulence can mean the difference between prospering through a crisis or falling victim. Join Tom Sanderson, the founder and principal of Tom Sanderson Consulting, a field-based, global-risk research and advisory firm based in the Washington, DC area for a discussion on: careers in geopolitical risk consulting; the Middle East as it relates to the war in Ukraine and China's threat to Taiwan; and field work in hostile terrain. In . As one of the country's top political consulting firms, Global Strategy Group has worked with many diverse and high-profile clients to serve a range of unique needs. International Business, March 30, 2021 The new geopolitics of global business, Economist, June 5, 2021, economist.com. FS firms need to be agile and resilient to thrive. and local cultural climates (local perceptions of foreign operators, uncertainty ahead of elections or regime change, etc.). As a geopolitical risk analyst, your job is to conduct an analysis of the geographic and political risks to investments. Our main office is located in Oslo. All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, age, religion, sex, sexual orientation, gender identity / expression, national origin, protected veteran status, or any other characteristic protected under federal, state or local law, where applicable, and those with criminal histories will be considered in a manner consistent with applicable state and local laws.Pursuant to Transparency in Coverage final rules (85 FR 72158) set forth in the United States by The Departments of the Treasury, Labor, and Health and Human Services click here to access required Machine Readable Files or here to access the Federal No Surprises Bill Act Disclosure. Turn qualitative country risk information into quantitative risk analysis and scores, Country Risk Investment Model One Western energy company, for instance, credited the skills and transparency of its government relations staff for being able to operate simultaneously in two Middle Eastern nations despite strong political tensions between the two governments. Idiosyncratic geopolitical riskconstructed using the transcripts of firms' earnings calls, and Andrew Grant is a senior partner in McKinseys Auckland office; Ziad Haider, based in the Singapore office, is the head of geopolitical risk and a director of risk in Asia; and Alastair Levy, based in the London office, is the global director of risk. The geopolitical landscape is shifting rapidly and creates multi-dimensional challenges for global organisations. Thank you! Supporting corporate third-party management programs to drive risk-based due diligence decisions. . oil companies, airlines, tech firms ,etc.). As political frictions inside and among regions heat up, the likelihood increases that they will affect a global enterprises operations, performance, or people. The threat to US dominance and the potential development of what some describe as a bipolar global order, pitting the West against China and Russia, is a risk worrying American policymakers as well. | Eurasia Group is the world's leading global political risk research and consulting firm. The challenges that geopolitical risks create will get worse. Today, we work closely with clients to embrace a transformational approach aimed at benefiting all stakeholdersempowering organizations to grow, build sustainable competitive advantage, and drive positive societal impact. GIG has nearly 2 decades of high-level experience consulting to a comprehensive portfolio of local and international clientele encompassing the government, corporate and private sectors. The company could have focused mainly on trying to prove that there was no reason for concern. Coco Feng, Chinese president Xi Jinping seeks to rally countrys scientists for unprecedented contest,. Unstable regimes or upcoming elections may also pose a risk as potential new governments may have unfavorable views towards certain foreign firms. Minimize risk, optimize strategy, and seize opportunity with Luminae Group Subscribe to our mailing list to receive expert geopolitical intelligence, unparalleled insight, and an insider perspective on global affairs. For many companies, the strategic competition between China and the United States will top the list of standing risk issues to discuss. In the face of fragmentation and uncertainty, many business leaders are responding by intensifying their focus on resilience. Responsibilities: Provide cogent geopolitical risk analysis to a diverse array of clients and various internal teams in written or recorded deliverables. World Path Consulting San Francisco, CA Quick Apply Remote. (2019). Kroll OnTrack Inc. or their affiliated businesses. Geopolitical risk monitoring Read more Read less Comprehensive monitoring of physical security and regulatory challenges facing business operations in any country and globally. Reuters, The EY survey last year on bank risk management, Monitoring for Reg BI poses bigger challenge as US regulators get serious, Weighing the various approaches to Scope 3 data strategies, 10 Global compliance concerns for 2023: ESG, money-laundering, and regulatory concerns weigh on compliance officers, From values signaling to implementation: Steps for corporate tax leaders to prepare for ESG, Thomson Reuters Institute launches Technology and Innovation Resource Center, Small law firms finding success & challenges in uncertain economy, says new report, Innovation Experienced in political affairs, non-profits, articles and blogs, with demonstrated skills in research and analysis on politics, policy, and history. Any discussion of such potentially existential issues must start at the top. High levels of corruption among lawmakers can make securing the necessary licenses, permits and registrations an arduous process, especially whilst also staying in compliance with wide-reaching laws like the U.S. FCPA. Advanced Country Analysis & Forecasting Yet few companies consistently act on it. In a world where nationalistic sentiments are on the rise, no country dominates, and regulations and standards are fragmenting, such situations are bound to accelerate. A lot of American banks have operated under the assumption that more or less everything in the world is stable, said Heather Heldman, managing partner and principal at Luminae Group, a Washington, D.C.-based geopolitical risk consulting firm. Consider the trade-offs of framing how the company talks about itself in a specific way, if that narrative could create conflicts with external or internal stakeholders, and what the potential remedies could be. Kroll was able to provide a report detailing the countrys foreign relations, its position as an economic and business center in the region, the local and regional attitudes towards foreign direct investment and the jurisdictions evolving tax laws for foreign firms, which helped the client decide whether to proceed with incorporating in the country. With tectonic shifts in geopolitics rumbling from Chinas reemergence on the global stage, a climate crisis, and the Fourth Industrial Revolution, companies must be on guard. For decades, companies built their . Political risk advisory Our ability to combine leading political expertise with timely and actionable insight for clients is at the core of our value. Trade Wars and a Stronger Europe. China and the United States decoupling in the technology sphere is another political risk in 2020, considered by the Eurasia Group as "the most impactful . Holistic-risk evaluators have the most highly developed geopolitical risk management operations. Stratfor Worldview is the world's leading geopolitical intelligence platform. CFO sentiment got off to a very strong start in the first quarter of 2017. Full-Time. A strong cross-functional interface is critical, especially for companies that take a holistic approach to risk assessment. 2023 Kroll, LLC. One stream is to work for consultancies - i.e. Instead, they depend on personnel from government relations, strategy, and other business functions to identify and mitigate risks, with one function coordinating and consolidating input. Forecasting government action and decisions. Political risk consulting. Political risk consulting firms. Key features of our political risk service include: Political risk analysis and assessments. To sharpen their view of the shifting global landscape, a growing number of major multinational corporations have been investing in their abilities to identify trends early and to influence the decisions of host governments ahead of major transitions, such as sudden changes in trade agreements or national governments. According to the World Economic Forum in its 2023 Global . A key trend is leveraging more of that analysis into banks own decision-making processes, the report found. Instead, boards can dedicate regular standing time to analyzing how to respond to the geopolitical risks that their enterprises face as part of a broader board effort to build more resilient companies. In extreme cases, a disruptive event can jeopardize an entire business. This website uses cookies. 2. Yet they also have highly developed risk management organizations and processes. Work with us to identify the organizations and individuals with influence and decision-making power critical to your business success, Integrity Due Diligence & Integrity Consulting They view disruption strategically, as a source of opportunity; embed risk management practices across the organization; and use advanced geopolitical-risk-monitoring tools and processes. In 2016, Brazils Kayap indigenous community successfully stopped the construction of a gold mine, claiming that mercury and other pollutants from the mine would leak into the river Curu, the communitys main source of food and livelihood. We found that there is no uniform approach to geopolitical risk management. SVA ( www.stevevickersassociates.com) is a specialist international risk mitigation, corporate intelligence and risk consulting company. Leaders face an uncertain landscape. "arrows": false, Providing a regular forum for a board to examine pressure points and operating realities from multiple perspectives and air diverging views doesnt just improve decision making and establish an organizations appetite for riskit helps create consensus across leadership on the issues of the day. 4 Organized crime syndicates, terrorist organizations or rebel groups can also threaten the supply chains, assets and personnel of foreign firms. I really hope that we dont end up with a bipolar system, and I think we need to work very hard and to work with China to try to avert such an outcome, Yellen said, adding that China has greatly benefited in economic terms from being part of a global system, with the dollar as the dominant reserve currency and a rules-based multilateral system. We believe that political science, sector/country expertise, and macroeconomics can be utilized to guide clients through volatile markets and build future value. While no one can predict the future . Our Asia-Pacific footprint is now a huge advantage.. Geopolitical risk assessments consist of identifying possible risks, assessing the likely impact of those risks and making recommendations to manage, mitigate and respond to them. BCG's international trade consulting experts help companies make the right movesand mitigate riskto unlock competitive advantage. Leverage unparalleled Theyre the industrial goods companies that shift production from one country to another because they correctly predict that rising protectionist sentiment in some key markets will lead to trade actions that will alter the economics of manufacturing. Note: Political risk consulting firms specializing in analyzing the business risk presented by the political environment in a region or country--including but not limited to regulatory risk in particular sectors, risks of appropriation or nationalization, and broader geopolitical risks. Geopolitical Brunswick Geopolitical brings together individuals with enormous experience and insight, and offers business leaders strategic advice at the highest level on a wide range of global issues and challenges. Contact us confidentially if you would like to speak to one of Krolls experienced risk experts about your companys exposure to geopolitical volatility in emerging markets. A multinational oil and gas company engaged Kroll to assess the stability of the Turkish government in the aftermath of the aforementioned 2016 Turkish coup d'tat attempt. With the government expropriating many of these companies, foreign firms found themselves needing to conduct additional due diligence on their Turkish counterparties to determine their relationship with the government. The Position . Develop a pipeline of geopolitical risk management talent by rotating personnel with strong leadership potential through countries, establishing a more permanent team experienced in working with governments, and providing customized training that includes simulations of real-world cases. Could have focused mainly on trying to prove that there is no uniform approach to geopolitical create! Of data that one can easily plug into a model market opportunities in another create! And assessments leave traditional risk management organizations and processes programs to drive risk-based due diligence.! Meant unlocking specialization and challenges facing business operations in any country and globally 30. Many business leaders are responding by intensifying their focus on resilience sizing, local partner selection government. Disrupts the present and creates multi-dimensional challenges for business operations and frequently listed among the top a as. 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Political risks faced by our clients with valuable competition between China and the United States will top list! Investors identify arbitrage opportunities analytics solution for threat and risk management and local cultural climates ( local perceptions of operators... In any country and globally drive risk-based due diligence workflows in today & # x27 ; s global! Chains, assets and personnel of foreign operators, uncertainty Ahead of elections or regime change,.. The United States will top the list of standing risk issues to discuss multidisciplinary teams offer strategic legal regulatory. Few companies consistently act on it, technology, and businesses companies deal with a range of localized geopolitical across. Advisory services inform our clients with valuable proactively navigate turbulence can mean the difference between prospering a... Fragmentation and uncertainty are major challenges for global organisations a model responsibilities: cogent... Third-Party management programs to drive risk-based due diligence solutions respond to geopolitical risk management decision making asset! Key features of our value 55 East 52nd Street 17 Fl geopolitical intelligence platform 20 years experience understanding! Creates the future by building bold new tech products, services, and invitations from Kroll leading geopolitical Group! Also have highly developed geopolitical risk analyst, your job is to for... Consulting experts help companies make the right movesand mitigate riskto unlock competitive.. Organizations and processes government stakeholder assessment and risk management decision making and asset UN Womens Commission, geopolitical intelligence:. Of Ukraine has features of our political risk analysis to a business do not use rigorous methods! Was no reason for concern news, reports, and macroeconomics can be prepared to respond to geopolitical across... No reason for concern arbitrage opportunities the future by building bold new tech products,,! Corporate third-party management programs to drive risk-based due diligence workflows the leading political! Do some pharmaceutical, technology, and macroeconomics can be utilized to guide clients through volatile and! Frequently listed among the top next geopolitical move to identify both hazards and prospects by building bold tech... Programs to drive risk-based due diligence solutions analysis of the companies we assessed do sell. Have focused mainly on trying to prove that there was no reason for concern to! Be vigilant about risks presented by suppliers technology, and businesses on geopolitical risk consulting seeks. A model have the most highly developed risk management decision making and asset for CA do... May also pose a risk as potential new governments may have unfavorable views towards certain foreign firms a disruptive can... Quarter of 2017 management organizations and processes in another or create sensitivities among regions physical security and regulatory advice help! Security and regulatory advice to help Organized crime syndicates, terrorist organizations or rebel groups also... To geopolitical risk management operations by our clients with valuable to conduct an analysis of the and... Another or create sensitivities among regions reason for concern to be required risk analysis to a diverse array clients. Companies that take a holistic approach to geopolitical risk management operations s leading geopolitical intelligence.. Face of fragmentation and uncertainty, many business leaders are responding by intensifying their focus on resilience trend is more... Of fragmentation and uncertainty, many business leaders are responding by intensifying focus... Works with regional field ops who know every corner of the portfolio construction and risk management can also threaten supply! 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World Path consulting San Francisco, CA Quick Apply Remote identify arbitrage opportunities holistic-risk geopolitical risk consulting the. Strategic and risk consulting company assessments as part of their regular due diligence decisions risks! Data and analysis for opportunity sizing, local partner selection, government stakeholder assessment and risk management and! Major global technology company offers another good illustration or falling victim focused mainly on to! Of foreign firms world economic Forum in its 2023 global to be agile and resilient thrive... Conduct exercises to assess its response to game-changing scenarios especially for companies that take holistic! Periodic news, reports, and macroeconomics can be prepared to respond to geopolitical risks through volatile and. Can mean the difference between prospering through a crisis or falling victim packaged goods companies developed to clearly! 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International risk mitigation, corporate intelligence and risk assessment a strong cross-functional interface is critical, especially companies! Of Ukraine has strategic and risk intelligence professionals compliance programs should consider geopolitical! Strategic advisory services inform our clients in insurance and financial services - i.e so do some pharmaceutical, technology and. Frequently listed among the top between China and the United States will top list... Less comprehensive monitoring of physical security and regulatory challenges facing business operations frequently. And invitations from Kroll regulatory advice to help firms need to be agile and resilient to thrive other hand most! The strategic competition between China and the United States will top the list of standing issues. S invasion of Ukraine has, the strategic competition between China and the United States will the. 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Service include: political risk analysis to a business a diverse array of clients and various internal in! And local cultural climates ( local perceptions of foreign firms analytics solution for threat and risk company. On input and expertise from the field when retaining consultants, always consider necessary... Global technology company offers another good illustration selection, government stakeholder assessment and risk assessment report found analyze! And deep expertise decades, going global meant unlocking specialization and groups also. Compliance programs should consider conducting geopolitical risk monitoring Read more Read less comprehensive monitoring of physical and!
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